Gold Retreats as Stalled U.S.–Iran Peace Talks Spark Inflation and Interest Rate Fears
Gold prices retreated on Monday as a stalemate in U.S.–Iran peace negotiations triggered a sharp rally in crude oil, which jumped roughly 4% to $105 a barrel. This failure to reach a resolution, highlighted by U.S. President Donald Trump's rejection of Iran’s latest proposal, has intensified fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation. Consequently, investors are bracing for "higher for longer" interest rates, with Goldman Sachs pushing back its projected Federal Reserve rate cuts to late 2026 and 2027. The resulting strength in the U.S. dollar and elevated bond yields have pressured bullion, while supply-side constraints, such as a 7.08% decline in China’s domestic gold production during the first quarter of 2026, provide an additional macroeconomic backdrop to the metal's current volatility.
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